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Thursday · May 7 · 1:10 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 63 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 10 mph out to rf

Final

GUARDIANS 8
Royals 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 8–5 Guardians

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Royals Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 40% 60% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 62% 38%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 42% 58%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 48% 52% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games