← Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 6 ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

GUARDIANS 3
Royals 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✓ Correct

Projected: 6–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–1 Guardians

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Royals Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 69% 31% 6–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 76% 24% 7–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 82% 18% 6–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 76% 24% 7–3 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 42% 58% — ✗
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 44% 56% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 6–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games