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Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 53 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf

Final

Guardians 3
ROYALS 5

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 7–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 Royals

68%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Royals Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 76% 24% 6–3
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 75% 25% 6–4
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 84% 16% 7–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 87% 13% 7–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 56% 44%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 46% 54%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 68% 32% 7–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

22–24

48% across 46 games

Royals this season

22–23

49% across 45 games