Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
GUARDIANS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 53 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
Guardians
3
ROYALS
5
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, comfortably
✗ WrongProjected: 7–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 3–5 Royals
68%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 76% | 24% | 6–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 75% | 25% | 6–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 84% | 16% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 87% | 13% | 7–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 68% | 32% | 7–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games