Wednesday · April 22 · 1:10 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l
Final
ORIOLES
8
Royals
6
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 8–6 Orioles
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 48% | 52% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games