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Wednesday · April 22 · 1:10 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 66 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l

Final

ORIOLES 8
Royals 6

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 8–6 Orioles

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Royals Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 4–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 49% 51%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 45% 55%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 48% 52% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games