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Monday · April 20 ✦

ORIOLES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium.

Final

ORIOLES 7
Royals 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 7–5 Orioles

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Royals Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 65% 35% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 47% 53% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 33% 67%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 47% 53%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 50% 50% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games