Tuesday · April 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 17 mph out to cf
Final
Orioles
5
ROYALS
6
Our Pick
KANSAS CITY ROYALS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 5–6 Royals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 25% | 75% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Kansas City Royals | 45% | 55% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games