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Tuesday · April 21 · 6:40 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 17 mph out to cf

Final

Orioles 5
ROYALS 6

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 5–6 Royals

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Royals Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 49% 51% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 39% 61%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 25% 75%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

28–17

62% across 45 games

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games