Back to the recap

Thursday · April 2 · 1:10 PM ✦

TWINS @ ROYALS

Kauffman Stadium. · 72 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph r to l

Final

TWINS 5
Royals 1

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–1 Twins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Royals Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 45% 55% 4–4
Logistic Kansas City Royals 49% 51%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 49% 51%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 52% 48% 4–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games

Royals this season

24–23

51% across 47 games