Wednesday · April 1 · 6:40 pm ✦
TWINS @ ROYALS
Kauffman Stadium. · 60 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
Twins
9
ROYALS
13
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 9–13 Royals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Royals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Kansas City Royals | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 27% | 73% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
23–24
49% across 47 games
Royals this season
24–23
51% across 47 games