Friday · September 18 · 7:10 pm ✦
BRAVES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
BRAVES
6
Astros
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 6–2 Braves
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 58% | 42% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games