Wednesday · September 16 · 7:10 pm ✦
ROYALS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
ROYALS
5
Astros
2
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–2 Royals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games