Thursday · September 17 · 6:15 pm ✦
ROYALS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Royals
2
ASTROS
6
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–6 Astros
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
78–77
50% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games