Sunday · September 6 · 1:10 PM ✦
D-BACKS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
D-BACKS
3
Astros
2
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–2 D-backs
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 51% | 47% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games