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Tuesday · September 15 · 7:10 pm ✦

ROYALS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Royals 2
ASTROS 4

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–4 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 35% 65% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 69% 31% 5–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Kansas City Royals 60% 40% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 35% 65% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

78–77

50% across 155 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games