← Back to the recap

Saturday · September 5 · 6:15 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

D-BACKS 4
Astros 3

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 4–3 D-backs

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Astros Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 65% 35% 5–4 ✓
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 61% 39% — ✓
Random Forest Houston Astros 42% 58% — ✗
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 57% 43% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games