Friday · September 4 · 7:10 pm ✦
D-BACKS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
D-backs
1
ASTROS
3
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 1–3 Astros
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | D-backs | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Arizona Diamondbacks | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Arizona Diamondbacks | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
D-backs this season
79–76
51% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games