← Back to the recap

Tuesday · September 1 · 7:10 pm ✦

WHITE SOX @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

WHITE SOX 5
Astros 1

Our Pick

CHICAGO WHITE SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Chicago White Sox · Actual: 5–1 White Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Astros Projected Result
Baseline Chicago White Sox 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 55% 45% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Chicago White Sox 58% 42% — ✓
Random Forest Houston Astros 39% 61% — ✗
Consensus Chicago White Sox 52% 48% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

81–81

50% across 162 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games