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Saturday · August 22 · 6:10 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ATHLETICS 4
Astros 3

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 4–3 Athletics

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Astros Projected Result
Baseline Athletics 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 36% 64% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Athletics 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Athletics 51% 49% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 46% 54% 3–4 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games