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Thursday · August 20 ✦

ANGELS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

ANGELS 18
Astros 3

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 18–3 Angels

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–4
Logistic Houston Astros 41% 59%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 57% 43%
Consensus Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

68–53

56% across 121 games

Astros this season

69–51

57% across 120 games