Back to the recap

Wednesday · August 19 · 7:10 pm ✦

ANGELS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Angels 2
ASTROS 3

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–3 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 36% 64% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 40% 60% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Los Angeles Angels 55% 45% 3–3
Logistic Los Angeles Angels 52% 48%
Random Forest Houston Astros 46% 54%
Consensus Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

68–53

56% across 121 games

Astros this season

69–51

57% across 120 games