Sunday · August 16 · 6:20 pm ✦
MARINERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 76 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
MARINERS
3
Astros
2
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–2 Mariners
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 36% | 64% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 32% | 68% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
74–47
61% across 121 games
Astros this season
69–51
57% across 120 games