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Saturday · August 15 · 6:10 pm ✦

MARINERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

MARINERS 10
Astros 5

Our Pick

SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 10–5 Mariners

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Mariners Astros Projected Result
Baseline Seattle Mariners 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Seattle Mariners 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Seattle Mariners 58% 42% 3–3
Logistic Seattle Mariners 60% 40%
Random Forest Houston Astros 41% 59%
Consensus Seattle Mariners 52% 48% 4–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Mariners this season

74–47

61% across 121 games

Astros this season

69–51

57% across 120 games