Saturday · August 15 · 6:10 pm ✦
MARINERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
MARINERS
10
Astros
5
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 10–5 Mariners
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 60% | 40% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games