Wednesday · August 5 · 1:10 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
BLUE JAYS
5
Astros
4
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–4 Blue Jays
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 35% | 65% | 3–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 33% | 67% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games