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Wednesday · August 5 · 1:10 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

BLUE JAYS 5
Astros 4

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–4 Blue Jays

58%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 35% 65% 3–5
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Toronto Blue Jays 51% 49%
Random Forest Houston Astros 34% 66%
Consensus Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

61–63

49% across 124 games

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games