Friday · August 14 · 7:10 pm ✦
MARINERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mariners
7
ASTROS
10
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 7–10 Astros
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games