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Monday · August 3 ✦

BLUE JAYS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

BLUE JAYS 3
Astros 1

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–2 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–1 Blue Jays

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 71% 29% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 67% 33% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 69% 31% 4–2
Logistic Houston Astros 46% 54%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 59% 41% 4–2
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

61–63

49% across 124 games

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games