Tuesday · August 4 · 7:10 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Blue Jays
2
ASTROS
7
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–7 Astros
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 38% | 62% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
61–63
49% across 124 games
Astros this season
69–52
57% across 121 games