Saturday · August 1 · 6:10 pm ✦
RANGERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Rangers
4
ASTROS
5
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 4–5 Astros
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rangers | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Texas Rangers | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Texas Rangers | 64% | 36% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Texas Rangers | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rangers this season
68–55
55% across 123 games
Astros this season
69–52
57% across 121 games