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Saturday · August 1 · 6:10 pm ✦

RANGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rangers 4
ASTROS 5

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 4–5 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 45% 55% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 31% 69% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 64% 36% 4–4 ✗
Logistic Texas Rangers 57% 43% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 37% 63% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games