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Friday · July 31 · 7:15 pm ✦

RANGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rangers 2
ASTROS 11

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Texas Rangers · Actual: 2–11 Astros

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 65% 35% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Texas Rangers 57% 43%
Random Forest Houston Astros 38% 62%
Consensus Texas Rangers 57% 43% 4–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

68–55

55% across 123 games

Astros this season

69–52

57% across 121 games