Tuesday · July 21 · 7:10 pm ✦
MARLINS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Marlins
3
ASTROS
5
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–5 Astros
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 65% | 35% | 5–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games