Wednesday · July 22 · 7:10 pm ✦
MARLINS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Marlins
2
ASTROS
5
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–5 Astros
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Miami Marlins | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 37% | 63% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games