Monday · July 20 · 7:10 pm ✦
MARLINS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Marlins
5
ASTROS
8
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–8 Astros
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Miami Marlins | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Miami Marlins | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 31% | 69% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
68–56
55% across 124 games
Astros this season
69–53
57% across 122 games