Saturday · July 18 · 3:10 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
ORIOLES
4
Astros
2
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 4–2 Orioles
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 38% | 62% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 31% | 69% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
67–55
55% across 122 games
Astros this season
69–53
57% across 122 games