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Friday · July 17 · 7:10 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ORIOLES 3
Astros 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–2 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Astros Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% — ✓
Random Forest Houston Astros 36% 64% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games