Friday · July 17 · 7:10 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
ORIOLES
3
Astros
2
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–2 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 5–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
67–55
55% across 122 games
Astros this season
69–53
57% across 122 games