Saturday · July 4 · 6:10 pm ✦
RAYS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Rays
8
ASTROS
10
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 8–10 Astros
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–5 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 35% | 65% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 46% | 54% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games