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Sunday · July 5 · 2:35 PM ✦

RAYS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Rays 0
ASTROS 2

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 0–2 Astros

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 45% 55% 4–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 59% 41%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 53% 47%
Consensus Houston Astros 48% 52% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games