Friday · July 3 · 7:15 pm ✦
RAYS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
RAYS
3
Astros
1
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–1 Rays
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games