Wednesday · July 1 · 7:10 pm ✦
TWINS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 70 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
TWINS
8
Astros
3
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 8–3 Twins
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 25% | 75% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Minnesota Twins | 59% | 41% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games