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Tuesday · June 30 · 7:10 pm ✦

TWINS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Twins 4
ASTROS 6

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 4–6 Astros

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–4
Logistic Minnesota Twins 61% 39%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 51% 49%
Consensus Houston Astros 50% 50% 3–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games