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Monday · June 29 · 7:10 pm ✦

TWINS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

TWINS 5
Astros 4

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 5–4 Twins

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 60% 40% 4–4
Logistic Minnesota Twins 64% 36%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 53% 47%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 54% 46% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

48–37

56% across 85 games

Astros this season

51–34

60% across 85 games