Back to the recap

Sunday · June 21 · 1:10 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Guardians 1
ASTROS 2

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–2 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 35% 65% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 63% 37%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 58% 42%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

41–45

48% across 86 games

Astros this season

52–34

60% across 86 games