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Sunday · June 21 · 1:10 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Guardians 1
ASTROS 2

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 1–2 Astros

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 35% 65% 3–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 62% 38% 3–3 ✗
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 63% 37% — ✗
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% — ✗
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 3–3 ✗
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games