Wednesday · June 17 · 1:10 PM ✦
TIGERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Tigers
2
ASTROS
4
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 2–4 Astros
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 57% | 43% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
95–58
62% across 153 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games