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Friday · June 19 · 7:10 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Guardians 3
ASTROS 9

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–9 Astros

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 33% 67% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 36% 64% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 24% 76% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–3
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 65% 35%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 50% 50%
Consensus Houston Astros 43% 57% 3–4
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

41–45

48% across 86 games

Astros this season

52–34

60% across 86 games