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Saturday · June 20 · 6:15 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

GUARDIANS 8
Astros 1

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 2–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 8–1 Guardians

62%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 27% 73% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 29% 71% 2–4
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 31% 69% 2–4
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 35% 65% 2–4
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 53% 47%
Random Forest Houston Astros 49% 51%
Consensus Houston Astros 38% 62% 2–4
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

41–45

48% across 86 games

Astros this season

52–34

60% across 86 games