Monday · June 15 · 7:10 pm ✦
TIGERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
TIGERS
9
Astros
3
Our Pick
DETROIT TIGERS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Detroit Tigers · Actual: 9–3 Tigers
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 64% | 36% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 65% | 35% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Detroit Tigers | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
55–29
65% across 84 games
Astros this season
52–34
60% across 86 games