Tuesday · June 16 · 7:10 pm ✦
TIGERS @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Tigers
2
ASTROS
4
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–4 Astros
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Detroit Tigers | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 30% | 70% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–4 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
55–29
65% across 84 games
Astros this season
52–34
60% across 86 games