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Tuesday · June 16 · 7:10 pm ✦

TIGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Tigers 2
ASTROS 4

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 2–4 Astros

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Detroit Tigers 55% 45% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 49% 51% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Houston Astros 44% 56% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Detroit Tigers 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 30% 70% — ✓
Consensus Houston Astros 47% 53% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

95–58

62% across 153 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games