← Back to the recap

Sunday · June 7 · 1:10 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

ATHLETICS 5
Astros 0

Our Pick

HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 5–0 Athletics

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 47% 53% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Athletics 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 42% 58% 4–5 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Athletics 58% 42% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Houston Astros 43% 57% — ✗
Random Forest Houston Astros 33% 67% — ✗
Consensus Houston Astros 48% 52% 4–4 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

92–64

59% across 156 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games