Thursday · June 4 · 7:10 pm ✦
PIRATES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
5
Astros
1
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–1 Pirates
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 63% | 37% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
45–41
52% across 86 games
Astros this season
52–34
60% across 86 games