Wednesday · June 3 · 7:10 pm ✦
PIRATES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
Pirates
9
ASTROS
11
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 9–11 Astros
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 65% | 35% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 59% | 41% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games