Tuesday · June 2 · 7:10 pm ✦
PIRATES @ ASTROS
Daikin Park. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
PIRATES
10
Astros
6
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 10–6 Pirates
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Astros | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 64% | 36% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 65% | 35% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Houston Astros | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 54% | 46% | 3–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Astros this season
90–65
58% across 155 games