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Friday · May 29 ✦

BREWERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park.

Final

BREWERS 5
Astros 4

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 5–4 Brewers

60%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Milwaukee Brewers 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 69% 31% 4–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 64% 36% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% — ✓
Random Forest Milwaukee Brewers 56% 44% — ✓
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 60% 40% 4–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–69

57% across 161 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games