← Back to the recap

Sunday · May 17 · 1:10 PM ✦

RANGERS @ ASTROS

Daikin Park. · 73 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

RANGERS 8
Astros 0

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–2 Texas Rangers · Actual: 8–0 Rangers

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Astros Projected Result
Baseline Houston Astros 49% 51% 2–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 60% 40% 3–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Houston Astros 42% 58% 3–2 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 56% 44% 3–2 ✓
Logistic Texas Rangers 55% 45% — ✓
Random Forest Texas Rangers 71% 29% — ✓
Consensus Texas Rangers 55% 45% 3–2 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

87–68

56% across 155 games

Astros this season

90–65

58% across 155 games